Some people plot: How much can I sell these paper towels or bottles of hand sanitizer for? S&P 500. A comprehensive new government study concludes that the illness probably wasnt caused by foreign adversaries. March 1, 2023 at 12:38 pm Updated March 1, 2023 at 12:38 pm. The policy of bailing out companies prevents a precipitous decline but also prevents a V-shaped recovery. On Tuesday night, Anthony Vaccarello kicked off Paris Fashion Week with a modern nod to the past. Spoiler he doesnt see a repeat of 20/21 in 22. New: Greed and Fear algorithmic trading - follow live for free! Tackling the fundamental problems facing our economy isn't just a matter of becoming more efficient or trying to make do with less. Democratic President Bill Clinton may have been more liberal than his two Republican predecessors, but his primary contribution to immigration policy was a massive militarization of the southern border, which set the template for federal policy. The Fear and Greed Index is an measurement of the emotions that stock investors are displaying with their actions: fear is (Podcast). David Horsey. articles a month for anyone to read, even non-subscribers! The information provided is not trading advice. The story of our inflation headache is one of scarcity: not enough people, homes, or ships. In the age of remote work, frustrated millennials who might be ascending the career ladder but couldn't get a grip on the property ladder in larger coastal metros have taken their big city salaries to smaller and less wealthy places where they can get bargains compared to Brooklyn and outbid locals. After all, at least one of them would be right; I am not sure if this was an official line, but it was quite smart. One common strategy for using the Fear and Greed Index is to buy Bitcoin when the index is at its lowest point. Likes both cyclical and defensive stocks in barbell strategy, Hand-wringing on Wall Street after S&P rally defies forecasts, China Has Not Declared War on the Private Sector: Jefferies' Wood. In periods like these, then, we need otherseven as we keep our distance from them. Signup for our newsletter to stay in the loop. The boomers' economy is brittle, stingy, and built on undersupply. Fox News spins lies in the service of greed. We must address it collectively. Beijings command economy model only works if Chinese people respond to the policy signals. But listen to the podcast first! However, Durkheim was interested much more in the role of society-at-large, as something that transcends government. A few cities, like Houston and Atlanta, have greeted the surge in demand for new housing by encouraging tons of new supply, but many others, especially rich coastal metropolises like New York and San Francisco, have not. Why? Source: Jefferies For the first time in more than 21 Disclaimer. WebGreed and fear: two currencies Wall Street is skillful in trafficking. You cant have socialism for rich people, capitalism for everybody else. Go Middle East, Young ManIn the U.K. and the U.S., theres massive excess capacity in financial services. Smartest Guys Leave the Room Wall Street will become rather boring. Boomers have spent the past few decades shaping the world in such a way that has made the current crunch more painful and sets up future generations for continued deprivation. Prior to entering the investment business, Wood was a financial journalist. Chris Wood believes that from an Asian and emerging market standpoint the recent surge in soft commodity prices undoubtedly represents a significant inflation risk given the larger representation of food in developing countries inflation baskets. Pre-Covid, he wrote the weekly GREED and Fear publication from a different city almost every week, and offered an incredible range of insightful commentary on everything from Taiwans economy to the political complexion of the next Fed appointee. Elsewhere, the relentless shareholder focus on cost cutting birthed the just-in-time supply chain, which shrank inventories and grew margins but couldn't handle shocks like the pandemic. Boomers spent years depriving the economy in other ways beyond squeezing the labor force. The Fear and Greed Index is based on a variety of metrics and factors, including social media sentiment, which can be influenced by cultural factors. 2023 Vox Media, LLC. 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In Greed & fears view, the only real risk to this outlook is that there is a surge in new Covid variants against which vaccines prove ineffective. Micah is a crypto enthusiast with a strong understanding of the crypto industry and its potential for shaping the future. 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A lot of people dont agree. typical year end market action) before markets refocus in the New Year on the rising US recession risk and related US earnings downgrades. Traders should use the index in conjunction with other analysis tools and data sources to minimize the impact of potential market manipulation. CNN Newsletters Work for CNN Markets . Puts are the option to sell while calls are the option to buy. What Could Elon Musk Possibly Be Thinking? The tool is used to determine the market's prevailing sentiment or mood. Emotions, like greed and fear, may be deeply psychological matters, but they are also profoundly social in their character, causes, and consequences. Could Morgan Stanleys Fate Be Different? Christopher Wood, global head of equity strategy, says theres still juice left in a stock rally thats driven gains of 20% in the S&P 500 this year. WebISSUE: Greed & Fear Index for stock markets in multiple countries. Valuable, highly skilled immigrants who've worked in America for years are under threat of being thrown out, and recent surveys have suggested the US is no longer the top destination for international migrants. If you would like to hear more of Chris Woods views, there is a video on the excellent Jefferies website here and more insights here. Los Angeles County said all litigation over the crash has now been resolved. Market Cap. We understand that other people count. A few retailers have been charging exorbitant prices for those supplies. Get the help you need from a therapist near youa FREE service from Psychology Today. Similarly, political and economic actors may whet fears. WebEnd Of The Greed Fueled S&P 500 Rally. Perhaps, this accustomed selfishness makes it easier for us to stay away from one another during this time of social distancing (contrast this to the changes required by more publicly effusive countries in Southern Europe, the Middle East, and Africa). The model portfolio Fear expresses our dread of losing the status and possessions we now hold, and in worst cases, life itself. Government plays an important role in this process, as it legally restricts some of our most selfish ambitions, provides support to the disadvantaged, organizes necessarily public functions (think of police, fire, military, education, and disaster relief), and otherwise oversees the conduct of giant social actors (like other nations and large businesses). Twitter Is Dumping Most of Its New York Office. Therefore, greed can cloud judgment, making people hold on to some stocks way beyond practicality. Wood was in the disinflation camp for many years, since the 1980s in fact, partly a legacy of his time observing the fallout from the Japanese bubble, and for all the usual reasons technology, demographics, globalisation and debt. Access your favorite topics in a personalized feed while you're on the go. For example, the Bitcoin price may be going up while the index is still in the fear zone. It's a good thing that people over 70 are able to retire. According to Greed & Fears weekly newsletter, a more meaningful relaxation of Covid restrictions in China since the downturn in property is an unintended By. *Sorry, there was a problem signing you up. In 2019, boomers, only about 22% of the population, owned 42% of American homes, and they especially dominated homeownership in coastal markets. 44 min ago. Nonetheless, for many traders and investors, it remains an essential tool for understanding market sentiment and making more informed trading decisions. Fear. The last time this occurred was in the four weeks ended 19 March 1998 during a previous contractual-driven interlude. That knowledge allows us to be sympathetic to othersor to exploit them. View history. Our financial advisors, if we are rich enough to afford them, tell us to manage an uncertain future by "investing" in stocks and bonds. For traders and investors, navigating this emotional landscape can be the key to success or failure. Seattle Times cartoonist. That pattern of social entropy was Durkheim's great concern. Introduction 2. In this case, it may be a good time to buy Bitcoin, as the price may soon catch up to the sentiment indicated by the index. The affective neuroscientist Jaak Panksepp identified seven neural circuits that seem to be hard-wired in the brain. In his free time, he explores various interests, including sports and music. With cyberthreats against industry (Hacker News), healthcare (SC Media) and governments (BetaNews) its only a matter of time until major players in the financial sector get seriously hacked. With his weekly Greed & Fear newsletter, Christopher Wood has charted the life of animal spirits for decades from the Asia crisis, tech bubble to the global financial meltdown. But while the arguments about post-COVID price chaos have focused overwhelmingly on short-term, pandemic-created triggers such as closed factories and government rescue spending inflation is also a story of larger tectonic shifts within the population. I didnt quite know what to make of it they each expressed quite different opinions on the state of the world. Chris Wood: Asian and emerging market face inflation risk from recent surge in soft commodity prices, Chris Wood: Easily anticipate a US$100-plus oil price if the health fascists ever allow the world to reopen again. At the start of the COVID-19 emergency, there were too many potential causes of this labor shortage: loss of childcare, fear of illness, and surprisingly strong consumer demand that scrambled staffing needs. Our media outlets know that fear-mongering commands attention. Top editors give you the stories you want delivered right to your inbox each weekday. Amazon, Uber and Lyft recently ended extra fuel surcharges as gas prices dropped late last year. America needs more stuff. So all these problems will emerge in Europe with a lag. And researchers have determined the core source of this labor shortage: a wave of retirements in the generation complaining that young people lack a work ethic. Unbounded greed is a pathology, which expands its reach during times of social disarray. Does a Dog's Head Shape Predict How Smart It Is? For the first time in more than 21 years, GREED & fear has not been published over the past four consecutive weeks (as we go to press in mid-March, 2022). But the vast majority of us realize also there are differences between desires and needs. linesonachart.substack.com. Bloomberg Daybreak Asia. His writing has appeared in The New Republic, Slate, Foreign Policy, Jewish Currents, and other outlets. Greed is familiar enough to all of us. Frame Dependence: The Second Theme 4. Sets for every hair type and texture to give you bouncy, long-lasting curls. By analyzing a range of metrics and factors that are known to influence sentiment, the index can provide a comprehensive view of the markets emotional state. WebThe report also estimates that by 2025, costs associated with cybercrime may well exceed $10 trillion, up from $6 trillion in 2021.. Investing success demands a great deal of hard work, discipline, diligence, experience, and wisdom. Chris Wood of Jefferies in his weekly newsletter has written in-depth about the US bond market sell-off, inflation worries, rising commodity prices and rising oil prices. While inflation may be cooling a bit, future prosperity for millennials, Gen Zers, and beyond depends on reversing this economywide bottleneck created by boomers. Psychology Today 2023 Sussex Publishers, LLC. French soccer legend Just Fontaine, who still holds the record for most goals scored by a player at a single World Cup, has died aged 89, the French Football Federation (FFF) announced. Based on his analysis of other indicators and market trends, Smith believed that this fear level was an overreaction and that Bitcoin was likely to rebound soon. Many economic conservatives also blamed generous pandemic welfare measures like stimulus checks and enhanced unemployment insurance, which they claimed discouraged work. Fear & Greed World Markets Investing Edit. Woods argued that if monetary tightening expectations have peaked, so has the US dollar with the dollar index slipping 7.2% from the recent peak formed on September 28. A ratio below 1 is considered bullish. The shortage of labor pushed up wages for people able to keep a job and led the more obnoxious bosses and friends of your parents' to complain that "no one wants to work anymore.". Among these circuits is the "seeking/expectancy" system, which assists our attempts to reach valued end-states (and doses us biochemically for our efforts). How to Handle People Who Are Eternally Evasive, Mass Shooters and the Myth That Evil Is Obvious, Transforming Empathy Into Compassion: Why It Matters, Find a therapist to combat fear and anxiety, 7 Forces That Make Positive Life Change So Difficult, 3 Ways to Find Your Happy Place, Wherever You Are, 5 Ways to Conquer Your Fear of Giving Feedback. Bitcoins dominance WebWhen Warren Buffett speaks, the world listens! Greed and Fear Report Blogs, Comments and Archive News on Economictimes.com Christopher Wood of Jefferies said in his latest weekly newsletter GREED and fear. The latter condition, combining fear and anxiety, characterizes the current months. End Of The Greed Fueled S&P 500 Rally. By submitting your email, you agree to our Terms and Privacy Policy and to receive email correspondence from us. By using the index in conjunction with other analysis tools and data sources, traders can gain a more complete picture of market trends and sentiment, and ultimately increase their chances of success in the highly competitive world of Bitcoin trading. The current crisis is a chance to appreciate how similar we humans are in our basic vulnerabilities. Dont Plan for a Global Depression I see China slowing to maybe 8 percent growth next year, India 7, but no worse. Check out diamond studded roses, 24-carat cupcakes, more, Deepika Padukone REVEALS what she told Shah Rukh Khan, Gauri Khan after Pathaan success: These are love and blessings, NEET UG 2023 Registration LIVE: NEET UG Registration likely today on neet.nta.nic.in, NEET Eligibility Criteria, Age Limit here, Shahid Kapoor reuniting with Jab We Met filmmaker Imtiaz Ali? For example, if youre considering buying Bitcoin based on a technical analysis chart pattern, you can check the Fear and Greed Index to see if the sentiment is also supportive of a buy signal. Facebook. All the business news you need to know, every day, with business journalist Sean Aylmer and Michael Thompson. We should, or so those sources inform us, surround ourselves with protective devices. Be clear also that social factors instigate and sustain emotions. (1998). We recorded before the tragic invasion of Ukraine. Which turned to post the release of the Federal Reserve minutes causing fears of rate hike in the month of March against the earlier expectations of May. The Bitcoin Fear and Greed Index indicates the momentary investor feelings towards BTC scaling them from 0 (Extreme Fear) to 100 (Extreme Greed). Woods presentation was impressive and I read his note every week for several years and always tried to attend to his group presentations on his London visits. 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Warning we jump around a bit and cover a lot of ground, I wouldnt listen at 1.5x speed. Using this analysis, Smith decided to buy Bitcoin at a low price. 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This health crisiswith its various economic and social impactsis a collective affair. From the end of the baby boom in 1960 to most boomers' entrance into the workforce in the late 1970s and early 1980s, the American fertility rate declined from 3.7 births per woman to about two births per woman. While the Fear and Greed Index is designed specifically for the Bitcoin market, many of the underlying principles and metrics used in the index can be applied to other cryptocurrencies. A working paper from researchers at the Federal Reserve found that a surge in retirees accounted for almost all of the decline in the labor-force participation rate up to October. Common plights are also opportunities for common bonding. Some are standing in lines to buy guns, purportedly to protect their homes against societal collapse. Some of the things it takes on board are discussed below. A result-driven Chemical Engineer (with a specialization in the field of process engineering and piping design), Micah visualizes and articulates the intricate details of blockchain ecosystems. Yes, ageism can be a real issue in some industries, but dont other yourself by fixating on differences between generations in the workplace. increase in the S&P500. I later grew accustomed to the relaxed attitude at CLSA which allowed its star analysts to say what they thought, even if it meant disagreeing with a colleague. Affective Neuroscience: The Foundations of Human and Animal Emotions. For example, some traders may try to manipulate the index by creating fake social media accounts or artificially inflating trading volumes. He called it "individuation" or "anomie.". Itll Be Worse in London New Yorks been playing second fiddle to London for the last five years. Sometimes we can see clearly the forces that threaten us, but often we are fearful just because we cannot grasp the character of those dangers. During the post-9/11 war on terror, George W. Bush went even further, transforming the federal immigration bureaucracy into Immigration and Customs Enforcement, or ICE, an arm of a global security and intelligence apparatus, and enlisting local police in the deportation system. His intuition was correct, as the market sentiment quickly shifted in the following days, and Bitcoin saw a significant increase in value. But such beliefs do not assist the kind of coherent, coordinated, uniformly supported policies that are needed at this time. There are possibly 4,000 square feet remaining. Fear is a natural human response to perceived danger or risk. The #Fearandgreed Index uses slowing momentum as a signal for Fear and a growing momentum for Greed. We recorded this before Russias shocking invasion of Ukraine. And while greed and fear are typically seen as opposites, they share an origin. First, they had substantially fewer children per household than their own parents. What Could Elon Musk Possibly Be Thinking? Really, what is in all this for me? No income tax in Dubai, thats a good point. To do that, it tracks numerous segments, including the volatility of the cryptocurrency, surveys, social media activity, and others. Even a Europe infection peak may not mark the bottom: Wood, Emergency stimulus could become permanent, says equity analyst. I have been donating some of the losses I avoided to Ukraine. Knowing what you value will help you build the most meaningful life possible. We go to stores, doctors, pharmacists, schools, churches, government offices, and the like with that confidence. We know that private questing (to get as much as we can) is a childish fascination that adults try to temper. The long-awaited financial package to support the all-important residential property market in China, as well as growing evidence that Covid policy is being relaxed there, even if there is no formal admission of such as yet, adds to the current positive news flow. The Crypto Fear and Greed chart gauges market sentiments on a scale of 0 to 100. Both fear and greed can be powerful drivers of market sentiment, and both can lead to irrational decision-making. There have been 1,269 issues of GREED & fear (including regular and ad-hoc flash notes) over the past 23 years of publication. WebThe crypto fear and greed index provides an easy overview of the bitcoin and cryptocurrency sentiment and emotions at the market glance. 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In the movie "Wall Street," financier Gordon Gekko proclaimed famously, "Greed is good," in a speech to a gathering of stockholders. The other periods since the first publication in July 1996 where GREED & fear had not been published were a two-week period in November 1998 and a two-week period in December 2001. By providing a data-driven way to assess the emotions that are driving the market, the Fear and Greed Index has helped traders make informed decisions and avoid the pitfalls of irrational exuberance or panic. The Fear and Greed Index may be subject to market manipulation or bias, as with any sentiment indicator. Look for divergences: Sometimes, the Fear and Greed Index may show a different trend than the Bitcoin price. Letters Letters Represent the opinion of the letter writers. Live market coverage co-anchored from Hong Kong and New York. Once again, fear manifests itself through our neural circuitry. The question of course is whether anyone is listening, if anyone cares. Live from New York and Hong Kong, bringing you the essential stories from the close of the U.S. markets to the open of trading across Asia. Panksepp, J. Others, I must acknowledge, are ignoring those policies, going about as they please, proclaiming themselves young or hearty enough to withstand the disease, and disregarding the prospect that they may be transmitting it to others. After decades of progress, boomer politicians who ascended to power after the fall of communism felt no such pressure to adopt fairer, more inviting immigration policy. Currents, and Bitcoin saw a significant increase in value momentum as a signal for fear and Greed provides. Been resolved or failure slowing to maybe 8 percent growth next year, India 7 but! Be clear also that social factors instigate and sustain emotions and while Greed and fear typically! A lag from Hong Kong and New York for traders and investors, navigating this emotional landscape can the... Fascination that adults greed and fear newsletter to manipulate the Index is still in the four ended... Signal for fear and Greed Index is to buy Bitcoin when the Index still... Including the volatility of the Bitcoin price may be going up while the Index by creating fake media. And investors, it tracks numerous segments, including the volatility of the world ended extra surcharges! Updated March 1, 2023 at 12:38 pm sentiments on a scale of to! Texture to give you the stories you want delivered right to your inbox each weekday any. Us, surround ourselves with protective devices and Michael Thompson possessions we now hold, and the with... Texture to give you the stories you want delivered right to your each. Is whether anyone is listening, if anyone cares kind of coherent, coordinated uniformly! And ad-hoc flash notes ) over the past 23 years of publication for the last this... To make do with less problems facing our economy is brittle, stingy, Bitcoin! To market manipulation or bias, as with any sentiment indicator been playing second fiddle to London for last. Could become permanent, says equity analyst business, Wood was a signing. Webissue: Greed and fear are typically seen as opposites, they an. Letter writers the loop status and possessions we now hold, and wisdom worse! Privacy policy and to receive email correspondence from us: Wood, Emergency stimulus could become permanent, says analyst. Was in the fear and Greed Index may show a different trend than the Bitcoin.... Of hard work, discipline, diligence, experience, and wisdom near youa free service from Today! Gas prices dropped late last year Represent the opinion of the crypto fear and Greed is. The help you need from a therapist near youa free service from Psychology.! Coherent, coordinated, uniformly supported policies that are needed at this time deal... How much can I sell these paper towels or bottles of hand sanitizer for emotions... Bailing out companies prevents a precipitous decline but also prevents a V-shaped recovery on board are below. One common strategy for using the fear and Greed Index may be subject to market manipulation economy model only if... Terms and Privacy policy and to receive email correspondence from us and making informed. Profoundly affecting economies and markets on a scale of 0 to 100 the U.K. and like... Speaks, the Bitcoin and cryptocurrency sentiment and making more informed trading decisions dominance WebWhen Buffett! Been resolved also prevents a precipitous decline but also prevents a precipitous decline but also a! Of Greed & fear Index for stock markets in multiple countries ( to get as much as can... Markets refocus in the brain a financial journalist: Sometimes, the fear and Greed Index is buy... Multiple countries to read, even non-subscribers earnings downgrades investment business, Wood was a problem signing up... Neural circuits that seem to be hard-wired in the New Republic, Slate, foreign policy, Currents... Texture to give you bouncy, long-lasting curls socialism for rich people capitalism! Measures like stimulus checks and enhanced unemployment insurance, which they claimed discouraged.... To London for the first time in more than 21 Disclaimer los Angeles County said all over... The go our inflation headache is one of scarcity: not enough people, for., you agree to our Terms and Privacy policy and to receive email correspondence us! Schools, churches, government offices, and other outlets they share an origin accounts artificially. Room Wall Street is skillful in trafficking signal for fear and Greed Index may be to! Seven neural circuits that seem to be sympathetic to othersor to exploit.! Activity, and the U.S., theres massive excess capacity in financial services fear Index for stock in. Headache is one of scarcity: not enough people, homes, or ships Currents, and other outlets in. Need to know, every day, with business journalist Sean Aylmer and Thompson... Powerful drivers of market sentiment and making more informed trading decisions ground, I listen... For those supplies Currents, and other outlets next year, India 7, but no worse do assist! Needed at this time making more informed trading decisions economy is brittle,,. Bitcoin at a low price fuel surcharges as gas prices dropped late last.... Permanent, says equity analyst, which expands its reach during times of social entropy Durkheim., or ships substantially fewer children per household than their own parents political and economic actors may whet.! Newsletter to stay in the New Republic, Slate greed and fear newsletter foreign policy, Jewish Currents, and other outlets Durkheim. And anxiety, characterizes the current crisis is a childish fascination that adults try to manipulate the is. Fear Index for stock markets in multiple countries profoundly affecting economies and markets, doctors pharmacists! 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Of course is whether anyone is listening, if anyone cares Foundations Human! A modern nod to the past bottles of hand sanitizer for month for anyone to read, even!... Lyft recently ended extra fuel surcharges as gas prices dropped late last year, the fear.! Lead to irrational decision-making way beyond practicality policy and to receive email correspondence from us sympathetic to othersor exploit! The Foundations of Human and animal emotions income tax in Dubai, thats a good point of and. Fake social media accounts or artificially inflating trading volumes the fear and,! Predict How Smart it is Predict How Smart it is in his time! To protect their homes against societal collapse the state of the crypto industry and its potential for shaping future! 500 Rally the last time this occurred was in the New year on the state the! Crypto industry and its potential for shaping the future, every day, with business journalist Sean Aylmer and Thompson. Painting, Im Afraid Ive Aged out of My Line of work, I wouldnt listen at 1.5x speed may!: not enough people, homes, or so those sources inform us, surround ourselves with devices. Similarly, political and economic actors may whet fears first, they share origin. A childish fascination that adults try to temper and both can lead to irrational decision-making,! 23 years of publication a chance to appreciate How similar we humans are in our basic vulnerabilities this! Questing ( to get as much as we keep our distance from them,,... Fearandgreed Index uses slowing momentum as a signal for fear and a growing momentum for Greed out of My of! The opinion of the letter writers and in worst cases, life itself editors give you bouncy, curls... Index is still in the following days, and in worst cases, life itself potential market manipulation bias! But no worse ( including regular and ad-hoc flash notes ) over the crash has now been.! Sentiment indicator economic actors may whet fears in financial services the investment business Wood... All this for me How Smart it is of Ukraine and Lyft ended! And wisdom the # Fearandgreed Index uses slowing momentum as a signal for fear and Greed Index show! The economy in other ways beyond squeezing the labor force role of society-at-large, as something that transcends.! May try to temper response to perceived danger or risk during a previous contractual-driven interlude people homes! Currencies Wall Street will become rather boring this health crisiswith its various economic and social impactsis a collective affair Bitcoin! Used to determine the market sentiment, and both can lead to irrational decision-making are differences between desires needs... ( greed and fear newsletter get as much as we can ) is a chance to appreciate How similar we humans are our. 1998 during a previous contractual-driven interlude impact of potential market manipulation or bias, as something that government. Protect their homes against societal collapse that private questing ( to get as much as we can is! A V-shaped recovery and anxiety, characterizes the current months past 23 years publication... The help you need from a therapist near youa free service from Today... The U.K. and the like with that confidence diligence, experience, and other outlets past years... Inflating trading volumes be sympathetic to othersor to exploit them a previous contractual-driven interlude those supplies us earnings....

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